By Bob Johansen

ISBN-10: 1576754405

ISBN-13: 9781576754405

Nobody can are expecting the long run, yet you continue to need to make experience of it to achieve success. Leaders are dealing with an international of volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity--a international laced with dilemmas. ""Get There Early"" indicates the way to feel the long run to impress new methods of figuring out the current. Institute for the Future's exotic Fellow Bob Johansen makes use of 35 years of 10-year forecasting to unpack advanced dilemmas and support leaders seed innovation and process. ""Get There Early"" is helping leaders get to the bottom of the consistent pressure among judging too quickly (the vintage mistake of the matter solver) and determining too past due (the vintage mistake of the academic).

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Expert Workshops are a specific form of expert opinion aggregation. Expert workshops are typically composed of groups of twelve to twenty-five diverse experts called together as part of a forecasting process. • Content Synthesis draws together the forecasts of others to create a synthesized view. • Historical Analogy draws lessons from the past. Even in times of great change many aspects of life do not change. A historical approach explores what is not likely to change and what lessons have been learned so you don’t repeat old mistakes.

The workforce of the future will be shaped by the differing priorities of next-generation workers. Although most aspects of the future are unpredictable, demographic changes can be foreseen, at least at a general level. Next-generation workers often don’t fit the expectations of today’s leaders. ” For- Institute for the Future’s Ten-Year Forecast 31 tunately, this dilemma of next-generation workers is likely to be more of an opportunity than a risk. Young people have always been different, but the next generation of workers is really different.

Personal empowerment will be shaped by the aging baby boomers. First, the aging baby boomer generation has changed every major institution it has come into contact with, and the concept of retirement looks likely to be next on the list. I expect that the word retirement will disappear altogether and be replaced by a baby-boomer-type term like redirection, regeneration, or refirement. Second, we will see increased longevity in this generation, with a possible shift in retirement age, since government retirement benefits promises are becoming harder and harder to keep.

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Get There Early: Sensing the Future to Compete in the Present by Bob Johansen

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